2012-2013 SportsFullCircle NFL playoff predictions: Conference Championship round

by Jon Alba on Sunday, January 20th, 2013

(Note: There is a spacing error towards the end of the article. We are unsure as to why it is occurring and apologize for any inconvenience.)

Just three more games are left in the NFL season! Who did our staff pick for the Conference Championship games?

2) San Francisco 49ers vs. 1) Atlanta Falcons

Jose Torres (6-2)

You would think a no. 1 seed in the NFC Championship game would be favored, especially since they are at home.  But no, the Atlanta Falcons are yet again underdogs.  Many websites have the Falcons as four-point underdogs against the San Francisco 49ers.

In order to understand why, we must go back to last week matchups.  The 49ers destroyed the Green Bay Packers at home after Colin Kaepernick broke the NFL record for rushing yards in a postseason game by a rookie.  The Falcons, up by 20 at the half lost the lead in the fourth quarter to only come back and win by a field goal with eight seconds to spare.

With that in mind, I am looking forward to seeing these two teams go at it.  The Falcons need to find a way to contain Colin Kaepernick like they did early on Russell Wilson.  The key matchup would be of course the defensive line of the 49ers and whether or not Justin Smith can become a factor in the pass rush against Matt Ryan.

This is going to be high scoring as well as hard hitting; my favorite kind of football.  49ers 35  Falcons 24

Jordan Katz (5-3)

Well this is an odd matchup for me. All the signs point to San Francisco here. The Niners are the road favorite, which has happened only four other times and only the 2000 New York football Giants have been able to defy the Vegas odds makers. The Niners can run it, and the Falcons struggle against the run.

However, generally speaking, teams in the Falcons position take two steps forward after that first playoff win. For example the 2005 Pittsburgh Steelers went all the way after just the lone playoff victory the year before. The 2002 Tampa Bay Bucs won the Super Bowl after not winning a playoff game the previous two seasons.

I like the Falcons in this matchup for a couple of reasons. One, I think the Niners aren’t your conventional running offense. The Niners score on big plays and have an explosive offense. The Falcons have proven you cannot beat them by trying to outscore them, you must control the clock. Second, I think the weight is off the Falcons shoulders, which leads to the “two steps forward” philosophy. Lastly, I just don’t trust Kaepernick in his eighth career start, despite his last performance. Falcons 34 49ers 30

Jon Alba (5-3)

Both of these teams have flaws that have been highlighted at one point in the season or another. In the case of the Atlanta Falcons, last week’s defensive meltdown in the second half proved that many questions remain. They were beaten (up until the last several plays) with excellent clock management by Seattle, who proved that owning the field will lead to clear vulnerabilities in the Falcons defensive unit.
The San Francisco 49ers have come a long way in just two seasons. Much of that must be attributed to Josh Harbaugh, for doing what he is doing with two different quarterbacks.  Kaepernick has looked like a freak of nature on the field, but I am not ready to proclaim a football savior in San Francisco like many are freely doing. He still has two big games left to play this season alone, along with many in his career. This team is red hot right now, but is that enough momentum?
My brain says Atlanta because I believe they are the most talented team in the NFC, but my gut says San Francisco. And you know what they say about guts. 49ers 31 Falcons 27
4) Baltimore Ravens vs. 2) New England Patriots

The Patriots are heavily favored in this game and it’s well deserved.  I understand the Patriots lost Gronkowski (again) due to injury and it will factor but with Aaron Hernandez on the field, the points should still be there

As for Ray “Jax” Lewis with his bionic arm, it’s crazy to me how many tackles he’s acquired this postseason.  We can talk about motivation all we want but the better team will always win the game.  The Ravens took care of business in Denver and against the Colts due to Joe Flacco proving to Baltimore that he is a franchise quarterback and needs to get paid as one.

The key matchup for this game will be the Ravens tight ends versus the Patriots linebackers.  Usually when you think of linebackers who can’t cover you think of the Ravens, but the Patriots are bad in that department as well.  If they want to pull off the upset, Flacco is going to have to attack those linebackers with Tight End Dennis Pitta.

By the end of the night, Tom Brady and company will be too much and I see the Patriots head to the Super Bowl again. Patriots 31 Ravens 25

Jordan Katz

As I continue to gloat in the glory of my Ravens upset pick last week, the Ravens will march into New England for a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game, which is now referred to as the “Cundiff goes Vanderjagt Game.”

In this particular matchup, I think there are three things that will determine the outcome of this game. First is the Patriots running game. Teams that win in the postseason run the football effectively and the Patriots are no exception, despite the fact they have Gisele at quarterback… I mean Tom Brady. If the Pats can run it, they stand a good chance.

Second is the play of Joe Flacco. Flacco in five games against Tom Brady has more touchdowns (9-to-5) and less interceptions (4-to-7) than Tom Brady. He also has a better quarterback rating than Brady. If Flacco can continue this play, then the Ravens will be able to get their ground game going and that’s a major key for them in wins.

Lastly is the turnover battle. It’s rare that Tom Brady gets turned over and wins in his recent postseason appearances and it’s even rarer that if that turnover is a pick his Pats can win. I think Flacco outplays Brady yet again, Ed Reed makes a big play, Justin Tucker makes the field goal this time and the Ravens go to their first Super Bowl since 2000. Ravens 24 Patriots 21 OT
Jon Alba
Like them or hate them, it is impossible not to marvel in what the New England Patriots have managed to accomplish over the last decade and change. Consistent Super Bowl contenders, establishing one of the best quarterbacks of all-time and being manned by one of the greatest head coaches of all-time. Throw in nearly a handful of rings, and one must find it remarkable.
The Ravens are acting as a Cinderella at this point. Not by any means am I discrediting the immense amount of talent this team has, but the Ray Lewis story has taken precedence over all else. Joe Flacco has played like a champion this year, and for the most part, Ray Rice has proven why he was considered Heisman-caliber at Rutgers over the years.
I am very much excited for the rematch of last years epic showdown, and moreover in this case, Week 3′s replacement referee debacle. I think we are in for an old-fashioned shootout as Jordan said, and I too see this one coming down to overtime. I think the Patriots are a very complete team, who’s questions come on defense. They have established the running game they the were without for sometime, and seem poised for another run.
But overall, I believe the Ravens match up very well with them. Nearly eye for an eye, in fact. And they have an extra chip on their shoulders to play with. Ravens 30 Patriots 27 OT
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One Response to “2012-2013 SportsFullCircle NFL playoff predictions: Conference Championship round”

  1. Noreen says:

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