2010 World Cup Scenarios and Standings After Two Games Of Group Play

by Derek Johnson on Tuesday, June 22nd, 2010

Group A Standings:

Uruguay: 1-1-0 (4 points)
Mexico: 1-1-0 (4 points)
France: 0-1-1 (1 point)
South Africa: 0-1-1 (1 point)

Uruguay can advance to the knockout stage if:
1) Win/Tie against Mexico*
2) Loss against Mexico and France/South Africa draw
3) Loss provided that the France/South Africa winner does NOT own tiebreakers

Mexico can advance if:
1) Win against Uruguay*
2) Tie against Uruguay
3) Loss against Uruguay and France/South Africa draw
4) Loss provided that the France/South Africa winner does NOT own tiebreakers

France and South Africa can only advance with a win AND own tiebreakers over the loser of Mexico/Uruguay. A tie in either of the remaining Group A games would eliminate France and South Africa.

Group B Standings:

Argentina: 2-0-0 (6 points)
South Korea: 1-0-1 (3 points)
Greece: 1-0-1 (3 points)
Nigeria: 0-0-2 (0 points)

Argentina can advance if:
1) Win/Tie against Greece*
2) South Korea tie/loss against Nigeria
3) Loss provided that both South Korea and Greece do NOT own tiebreakers

South Korea can advance if:
1) Win against Nigeria and Greece does not either (a) win by a larger margin or (b) win by the same margin and score at least two goals
2) Tie against Nigeria and Greece tie/loss against Argentina

Greece can advance if:
1) Win against Argentina and South Korea tie/loss against Nigeria
2) Win by a greater margin than South Korea
3) Win by the same margin as South Korea and score at least two goals
4) Tie and South Korea loss to Nigeria
5) Defeat Argentina by at least three goals

Nigeria can advance if and only if it defeats South Korea and Argentina defeats Greece.

Group C Standings:

Slovenia: 1-1-0 (4 points)
United States: 0-2-0 (2 points)
England: 0-2-0 (2 points)
Algeria: 0-1-1 (1 point)

Slovenia can advance if:
1) Win against England*
2) Tie against England
3) Loss against England and USA/Algeria draw
4) Loss and Algeria win against USA provided that Algeria does NOT own tiebreakers

The United States can advance if:
1) Win against Algeria
2) Tie against Algeria and Slovenia/England draw if England does not outscore the United States by at least two goals
3) Tie and Slovenia win against England

England can advance if:
1) Win against Slovenia
2) Tie and USA/Algeria draw and outscore USA by three goals

Algeria must defeat the United States to have a shot at advancing. In addition, Algeria will need:
1) Slovenia win/tie against England
2) Slovenia loss against England provided that it owns tiebreakers on Slovenia

NOTE: If both of the remaining Group C matchups end in draws, and England scores exactly two more goals than the United States, both countries would be even on all tiebreakers; this tie would be broken by drawing lots (coin flip).

Group D Standings:

Ghana: 1-1-0 (4 points)
Germany: 1-0-1 (3 points)
Serbia: 1-0-1 (3 points)
Australia: 0-1-1 (1 point)

Ghana can advance with:
1) Win against Germany*
2) Tie against Germany
3) Loss and Australia/Serbia draw provided that Serbia does NOT own tiebreakers
4) Loss and Australia win provided that Australia does NOT own tiebreakers

Germany can advance if:
1) Win against Ghana
2) Tie and Serbia/Australia draw provided that Serbia does NOT own tiebreakers
3) Tie and Australia win provided that Australia does NOT own tiebreakers

Serbia can advance if:
1) Win against Australia
2) Tie and Germany loss against Ghana
3) Tie and Germany/Ghana tie provided that it owns tiebreakers over Germany

Australia must defeat Serbia to have a shot at advancing. In addition, Australia will need:
1) Germany loss against Ghana
2) Germany win provided that it owns tiebreakers over Ghana
3) Germany/Ghana draw provided that it owns tiebreakers over Germany

Group E Standings:

Netherlands: 2-0-0 (6 points; clinched spot in Round of 16)
Japan: 1-0-1 (3 points)
Denmark: 1-0-1 (3 points)
Cameroon: 0-0-2 (0 points; eliminated from World Cup)

Netherlands can win the group if:
1) Win/tie against Cameroon*
2) Loss and Denmark/Japan draw*
3) Loss as long as the Denmark/Japan winner does NOT own tiebreakers*

Japan can advance if it defeats/ties Denmark
Japan can win the group with a win against Denmark and a Netherlands loss provided that the Netherlands does NOT own tiebreakers over Japan*

Denmark can advance if it defeats Japan
Denmark can win the group with a win against Japan and a Netherlands loss provided that the Netherlands does NOT own tiebreakers over Denmark*

Group F Standings:

Paraguay: 1-1-0 (4 points)
Italy: 0-2-0 (2 points)
New Zealand: 0-2-0 (2 points)
Slovakia: 0-1-1 (1 point)

Paraguay can advance if:
1) Win against New Zealand*
2) Tie against New Zealand
3) Loss and Italy/Slovakia draw
4) Loss and Slovakia win provided that Slovakia does NOT own tiebreakers

Italy can advance if:
1) Win against Slovakia
2) Tie and New Zealand loss
3) Tie and Paraguay/New Zealand draw provided that it outscores New Zealand

New Zealand can advance if:
1) Win against Paraguay
2) Tie and Italy/Slovakia draw provided that it outscores Italy

Slovakia must defeat Italy to have a shot at advancing. In addition, Slovakia will need:
1) New Zealand tie/loss against Paraguay
2) New Zealand win against Paraguay provided that it owns tiebreakers over Paraguay

Group G Standings:

Brazil: 2-0-0 (6 points; clinched spot in Round of 16)
Portugal: 1-1-0 (4 points)
Ivory Coast: 0-1-1 (1 point)
North Korea: 0-0-2 (0 points; eliminated from World Cup)

Brazil can win the group if they defeat or tie Portugal*

Portugal can advance if:
1) Win against Brazil*
2) Tie against Brazil
3) Loss and Ivory Coast loss/tie against North Korea
4) Loss and Ivory Coast win provided that Ivory Coast does NOT make up goal difference

Ivory Coast can only advance if it defeats North Korea and Portugal loses to Brazil; Ivory Coast will also need to make up the goal difference against Portugal.

Group H Standings:

Chile: 2-0-0 (6 points)
Spain: 1-0-1 (3 points)
Switzerland: 1-0-1 (3 points)
Honduras: 0-0-2 (0 points)

Chile can advance if:
1) Win/tie against Spain*
2) Loss and Switzerland tie/loss against Honduras
3) Loss and Switzerland win provided that Switzerland does NOT own tiebreakers

Spain can advance if:
1) Win against Chile
2) Tie against Chile and Switzerland tie/loss against Honduras
3) Loss and Honduras win provided that it owns tiebreakers over Switzerland and Honduras

Switzerland can advance if:
1) Win against Honduras and Spain tie/loss against Chile
2) Win against Honduras and Spain win against Chile provided that Chile does NOT own tiebreakers
3) Tie against Honduras and Spain loss against Chile
4) Loss against Honduras and Spain loss against Chile provided that it owns tiebreakers over Spain and Honduras

Honduras can only advance if it defeats Switzerland and if Chile defeats Spain; Honduras also needs to own the tiebreakers over Spain and Switzerland.

If two teams finish even on points, tiebreakers work like this:
1) Goal differential
2) Goals scored
3) Head-to-head
4) Drawing lots

* denotes event that would win the group

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